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The Keynesian Subtweet
Utility maximization is unescapable. We should learn when it’s misapplied.
Oct 1
•
Ben Recht
26
1
4
September 2026
You Should Always Go for It
Nothing shows off the absurdity of cost-benefit analysis better than football analytics.
Sep 30
•
Ben Recht
19
5
2
Pricing Commensurability
On the origins of cost-benefit analyses in governmental decision making
Sep 29
•
Ben Recht
23
7
4
Applied Pure Mathematics
Some thoughts about mathematics as a cultural and social technology.
Sep 18
•
Ben Recht
120
30
17
Your current estimated wait time is...
A very short introduction to survival analysis and forecasting event times.
Sep 17
•
Ben Recht
20
2
2
The burdens of participation
Readout of the Public Feedback for AI Workshop, part 2
Sep 16
•
jessica dai
10
1
The Chances of Earthquakes
How much precision do we need in seismological odds?
Sep 15
•
Ben Recht
19
9
Matters of Degree
Every forecasting course must engage with the dappled world of probability.
Sep 10
•
Ben Recht
21
5
Cool’s Moving Out and Moving In
Success and uncertainty in the weather report.
Sep 9
•
Ben Recht
25
6
Every Day You See One More Card
The mathematics of transmuting frequencies of the past into odds of the future.
Sep 3
•
Ben Recht
15
4
Halley The Superforecaster
Edmond Halley and the multiple purposes of forecasting.
Sep 1
•
Ben Recht
33
6
August 2026
Who is the public?
Readout of the Public Feedback for AI Workshop, part 1
Aug 31
•
jessica dai
16
1
1
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