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Learning from losers
Games are always a microcosm, and that's why I'm hooked on writing about sportsball.
6 hrs ago
•
Ben Recht
5
Instrumentalized Actuarial Predictions
The randomized controlled trial as a natural extension of machine learning
Nov 4
•
Ben Recht
13
1
October 2025
The fine art of crate digging
Alexeev and Mixon's resolution of Erdős problem 707 and the vastness of the library.
Oct 27
•
Ben Recht
35
3
Lore Laundering Machines
When insight comes from willful forgetting.
Oct 24
•
Ben Recht
43
14
Maybe You're Wrong
Quantiles, Prediction Intervals, and what theory can tell you about the future.
Oct 23
•
Ben Recht
15
15
You're probably right
The value of randomized algorithms depends on verification.
Oct 21
•
Ben Recht
16
8
What is the chance of a Beast Quake?
How win probabilities are made and who they're for.
Oct 20
•
Ben Recht
12
6
Desirable Sins
Robustness of the holdout method and paths forward for machine learning theory.
Oct 16
•
Ben Recht
31
13
Stop going for 2 down 8
What if the analytics people are flat out wrong?
Oct 15
•
Ben Recht
10
16
Benchmarking our benchmarks
The only validated theories of generalization are sociological and historical.
Oct 14
•
Ben Recht
16
3
Reshelving generalization
You don't need a theorem to argue more data is better than less data
Oct 9
•
Ben Recht
22
5
Henry Was Right
OpenAI selling the world as a mumblecore adaptation of Philip K Dick
Oct 8
•
Ben Recht
36
12
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