arg min
Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Lecture Blogs
Collections
Archive
About
Latest
Top
Discussions
Go for Two to Know Exactly What You Need
Checking in on Al Michaels and the go-for-two-down-eight strategy.
2 hrs ago
•
Ben Recht
4
October 2026
Galactus the Devourer
On efficient algorithms, the Exponential Time Hypothesis, and losing the plot.
Oct 30
•
Ben Recht
120
17
20
Frontiers in Making up People
Trying (and failing) to make sense of the buzzy weird world of silicon sampling
Oct 29
•
Ben Recht
23
12
4
Off to the Races
Why we deny that election forecasts are primarily for entertainment.
Oct 28
•
Ben Recht
15
7
The World Is Something We Make
...and we can make a truly open language model.
Oct 26
•
Ben Recht
91
12
19
Polls Without People
How statistical prediction blurs into statistical sampling when surveying society.
Oct 22
•
Ben Recht
24
3
1
Into the Waves
On the most impactful forecast of all time: The Imperial College report on reducing COVID-19 mortality.
Oct 21
•
Ben Recht
36
9
3
Predictive Models Are Never Clean
Revisiting Breiman’s Two Cultures paper and what we want from our forecasting models.
Oct 16
•
Ben Recht
76
21
10
Faster Fourier Transforms
The OpenAI algorithm for the FFT is less a breakthrough and more a malicious exploit.
Oct 12
•
Ben Recht
288
43
45
Unimaginative Uncertainty
How most uncertainty can’t be quantified.
Oct 8
•
Ben Recht
37
12
3
Too Big to Fail
The obsession with and futility of macroeconomic forecasting
Oct 6
•
Ben Recht
33
4
2
The Keynesian Subtweet
Utility maximization is unescapable. We should learn when it’s misapplied.
Oct 1
•
Ben Recht
39
1
5
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
