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Every Day You See One More Card
The mathematics of transmuting frequencies of the past into odds of the future.
60 mins ago • Ben Recht
Halley The Superforecaster
Edmond Halley and the multiple purposes of forecasting.
Sep 1 • Ben Recht

August 2026

Who is the public?
Readout of the Public Feedback for AI Workshop, part 1
Aug 31 • jessica dai
Forecasting WTF? - A Syllabus
A plan for this semester's critical retrospective on forecasting and its culture.
Aug 27 • Ben Recht
Fall Semester Announcements
What does my future hold?
Aug 25 • Ben Recht
Runbooks for Microconferences
A few fun ideas on how to organize, implement, and archive your microconference.
Aug 21 • Ben Recht
From legibility to participation
An emphasis shift for human-facing computing research
Aug 19 • Ben Recht
Microconferences
A proposal to create alternative systems for generating, evaluating, and sharing knowledge
Aug 17 • Ben Recht
The Least Agentic People Alive
The arms race of deferring agency and the dark acquiescence to robotic bureaucracy.
Aug 7 • Ben Recht

July 2026

Open and Shut
What should be fair game and fair use for open corpus public intelligence?
Jul 29 • Ben Recht
Public Intelligence
A call for AI models with open weights, open source, and open corpus.
Jul 27 • Ben Recht
Science-based Shredding
Why don’t people tout RCTs of piano lessons?
Jul 22 • Ben Recht
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