Archive - arg min

Machine Learning Evaluation - A Syllabus

What we read this semester, and what worked, and what didn't.

21 hrs ago •

Rossi's Metallic Rules

Why do evaluations tend to find that social programs don't work?

Apr 22 •

Pretending (Not) to Count

Datafication, online societies, and the war on academia.

Apr 18 •

Maybe just believing in AGI makes AGI exist.

Kill the wise one!

Apr 14 •

Evaluation or Valuation

The infinite regress of evaluating large language models

Apr 10 •

Where do demonstrations fit in the complex world of system evaluation?

Apr 8 •

March 2025

baby, it's cold inside

celebrating the reissue of an ambient deep cut

Mar 28 •

All bets are off

All decisions are made under uncertainty. Almost no decisions are gambling.

Mar 25 •

Stochastic Coherence

Deriving the laws of probability through superforecasting

Mar 20 •

I think it's gonna rain...

The paradoxes of calibrated forecasting.

Mar 18 •

Gambling on the Richter Scale

Risk aversion when evaluating risk scores

Mar 17 •

Appraising Tea Leaves

How do we evaluate probabilistic assertions?

Mar 14 •

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